Learn how market segmentation theory shapes interest rates and yield curves, influencing your bond market decisions for ...

An inverted yield curve indicates short-term rates exceed long-term, suggesting economic caution. Historically, consistent negative spreads on this curve have preceded recessions. Investors might ...

The “experts” talk about how the U.S. Treasury Curve is currently “inverted.” What does that mean, and should it matter to lenders? The fact is, the yield curve (a graphical representation of yields, ...

Economists have been warning of a recession for so long it’s hard to remember when they didn’t warn of one. Now there’s another sign that the U.S. economy could be headed for a fall — the U.S.

The yield curve is an important barometer of economic health and market sentiment within the fixed-income space. While professionals use it to interpret expectations around future interest rates, ...

For much of the last two years, the 2-year US Treasury yield has traded above the 10-year yield. When that happens, it historically has meant a recession is looming. So you’d think that investors and ...

Over the last week, Treasury 2-year yields moved to 4.27% this week from 4.4% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield is 4.61%, compared with 4.79% last week. As a result, the current 2-year/10-year ...

A humped yield curve is a relatively rare type of yield curve that results when the interest rates on medium-term fixed income securities are higher than the rates of both long and short-term ...

The Treasury curve moved down 27 basis points at 2 years and down 32 basis points at 10 years over the last week. As a result, the current negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread widened this week ...

Wall Street’s favorite recession signal started flashing red in 2022 and hasn’t stopped — and thus far has been wrong every step of the way. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note has been lower than ...